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Lebanon and The Ten Fundamental
Mega-Trends in the Middle East
Potential for Multiple Black Swans?
London, UK - 10th May 2008, 12:45 GMT
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors
are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral.
ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]
The international community is waking up to the shock of the "yellow
topple" Hezbollah power grab which threatens to change the fundamentals
in Lebanon as well as the Levant, and more broadly across the Middle East.
The situation in Lebanon is extremely tense after the Shiite movement --
Hezbollah -- seized control of west Beirut in what the ruling Western-backed
coalition government brands as an armed coup orchestrated with the help
of Iran and Syria. As Lebanon stands at the brink of civil war, the United
States and the European Union are urgently consulting Lebanon's neighbours
and the United Nations Security Council to determine if there are any possible
measures that can be taken to control Hezbollah at this stage. After the
exceptional meeting of the Arab League that will be held tomorrow, intensified
international calls are likely to take place via the UN, US and the EU to
study possible solutions. UN Security General Ban Ki Moon has called on
the international community to take steps to avoid further deterioration
in the Lebanese situation.
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