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Future Middle East: Secular Democracies or Fundamentalist Theocracies?

London, UK - 6th March 2011, 20:30 GMT

Dear ATCA Open & Philanthropia Friends

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

Which pre-conditions exist for the evolution of secular democracies in the Middle East as opposed to fundamentalist theocracies like Iran? Is Egypt a likely candidate to set an example for the rest?


Secular Democracy or Fundamentalist Theocracy?

We now have three different examples:

1. Tunisia
2. Egypt
3. Libya

Other templates are brewing:

4. Bahrain
5. Yemen
6. Jordan
7. Oman
8. Saudi Arabia
9. Algeria
10. Morocco

The older template is crystallised:

11. Iran post 1979

If everything goes the way of Tunisia and Egypt, less problems? If everything goes the way of Libya, chaos? What happens if the Middle-East revolutions copy Iran post 1979?

This is the crux. If we end up with more Irans post 1979 we have a serious global crisis. If we end up with more peaceful non-violent revolutions that slowly metamorphose towards democracy, there is really no issue, other than a welcome change. Do you agree that Egypt is a key marker in the sand? What of Saudi Arabia?

What are your thoughts, observations and views? We look forward to your participation in this Socratic dialogue.

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[ENDS]

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Best wishes


ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001 to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers; as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.

The Philanthropia, founded in 2005, brings together over 1,000 leading individual and private philanthropists, family offices, foundations, private banks, non-governmental organisations and specialist advisors to address complex global challenges such as countering climate chaos, reducing radical poverty and developing global leadership for the younger generation through the appliance of science and technology, leveraging acumen and finance, as well as encouraging collaboration with a strong commitment to ethics. Philanthropia emphasises multi-faith spiritual values: introspection, healthy living and ecology. Philanthropia Targets: Countering climate chaos and carbon neutrality; Eliminating radical poverty -- through micro-credit schemes, empowerment of women and more responsible capitalism; Leadership for the Younger Generation; and Corporate and social responsibility.



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