The Second Burma Black Swan --
A Wake up Call for The World?
London, UK - 7th May 2008, 18:33 GMT
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors
are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral.
ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]
The second grotesque tragedy unfolding in Burma in less than
a year post the political turmoil -- with 60,000+ dead and millions left
homeless post cyclone Nargis -- is just one of the many examples of what
we are witnessing in the fast changing global landscape. It is this changing
landscape that has brought humankind face to face with a gruelling set of
fast moving survival challenges. Natural catastrophes amplify food crises
as witnessed by the rising price of rice in the aftermath of Nargis. Over
the past several years, the global community has witnessed a significant
increase in the severity and propensity of large scale natural disasters.
This has resulted in a phenomenal change in perceptions about global risk
management when undertaking horizon scanning over the coming decades.
The ATCA briefing was written jointly by the mi2g Intelligence
Unit; the ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) based in Canary
Wharf, London; Dr Jayshree Pandya, Chief Executive, Risk Group,
based in Houston, Texas; and Dr Harald Malmgren, Chief Executive,
Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC.
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