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Lebanon and The Ten Fundamental Mega-Trends in the Middle East

Potential for Multiple Black Swans?

London, UK - 10th May 2008, 12:45 GMT

Dear ATCA Colleagues

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

The international community is waking up to the shock of the "yellow topple" Hezbollah power grab which threatens to change the fundamentals in Lebanon as well as the Levant, and more broadly across the Middle East. The situation in Lebanon is extremely tense after the Shiite movement -- Hezbollah -- seized control of west Beirut in what the ruling Western-backed coalition government brands as an armed coup orchestrated with the help of Iran and Syria. As Lebanon stands at the brink of civil war, the United States and the European Union are urgently consulting Lebanon's neighbours and the United Nations Security Council to determine if there are any possible measures that can be taken to control Hezbollah at this stage. After the exceptional meeting of the Arab League that will be held tomorrow, intensified international calls are likely to take place via the UN, US and the EU to study possible solutions. UN Security General Ban Ki Moon has called on the international community to take steps to avoid further deterioration in the Lebanese situation.

[CONTINUES] [ATCA Membership]

[ENDS]

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