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Eurozone Crisis Intensifies: What Does The Canary In The Mineshaft Indicate? Contagion

London, UK - 12th September 2011, 21:25 GMT

Dear ATCA Open & Philanthropia Friends

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

1. Going forwards, the Eurozone crisis may turn into its own nemesis as confidence erodes swiftly and leadership is found to be wanting.


Eurozone crisis intensifies

2. As all eyes turn to the Eurozone, what next? Falling euro has hit a 10-year low against the yen. Japanese market has closed at a 2.5 year low.

3. Why are the worst year-on-year losses for key bourses all in the Eurozone? Milan -34% Madrid -27% Paris -23% Brussels -20% Frankfurt -18%.

4. Why are the Germans and Dutch talking openly about Greek default and exit? Failure of Greece to meet fiscal target pre-conditions for bailouts.

5. Greek default? Never believe anything until it’s been officially denied! Greece has issued three denials this weekend that one can count.

6. What does Juergen Stark's departure from the ECB mean? Divisions between German financial leadership and Eurozone members over bond buying and bailouts.

7. What is the outcome of the G7 finance ministers meeting? Nothing new was agreed. This highlights major differences between key G7 members.

8. One of the largest banks in the world, BNP Paribas triggered the August 2007 crisis. Its shares fell 12.35% today. Downgrade of major French banks is imminent.

Does the canary in the mineshaft indicate that history is just about to repeat itself or is it going to recite a more severe rhyme?

Contagion

Let us not underestimate the threat of contagion from Greece's default. Not just Ireland and Portugal, Italy and Spain, but also Austria, Belgium, Cyprus and France, alongside Eastern Europe, are likely to be in the melancholic doldrums as Greece defaults. The mighty Germany may also need to save several of its banks from going under. The consequences for the rest of the global economies and world trade will be far from benign as Eurozone pandemonium gets into full swing.

[STOPS]

We are hosting an Expert roundtable on this issue at ATCA 24/7 on Yammer.

[ENDS]

Expert Roundtables

Expert roundtables are the newly launched ATCA 24/7 Q&A private exclusive club service. They seek to become the killer application in strategic intelligence by delivering an unprecedented competitive advantage to our distinguished members. They can only be accessed online at https://www.yammer.com/atca

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Best wishes


ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001 to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers; as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.

The Philanthropia, founded in 2005, brings together over 1,000 leading individual and private philanthropists, family offices, foundations, private banks, non-governmental organisations and specialist advisors to address complex global challenges such as countering climate chaos, reducing radical poverty and developing global leadership for the younger generation through the appliance of science and technology, leveraging acumen and finance, as well as encouraging collaboration with a strong commitment to ethics. Philanthropia emphasises multi-faith spiritual values: introspection, healthy living and ecology. Philanthropia Targets: Countering climate chaos and carbon neutrality; Eliminating radical poverty -- through micro-credit schemes, empowerment of women and more responsible capitalism; Leadership for the Younger Generation; and Corporate and social responsibility.



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