Public Inquisition of Rating Agencies may Accelerate Downturn

London, UK - 16 August 2007, 16:37 GMT

Dear ATCA Colleagues

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

The worsening global credit situation has prompted French President Nicolas Sarkozy to urge the Group of Seven (G7) industrial countries to monitor international financial markets better. In a letter to German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, he called for an investigation into the role of credit agencies in identifying risks. The adverse situation at France's largest bank, BNP Paribas, played a major role in forcing the European Central Bank's (ECB) interventions over last week. Mr Sarkozy has repeatedly sought a greater role for governments in managing the economy and has sought to wrest some control of monetary policy from the ECB regulators.

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Dear DK and Colleagues

Re: Watch out for Dramatic Winners

Much is being made of the role of leveraged hedge funds in the current credit crisis, with the implicit assumption that these fellows are now getting their comeuppance and that their role in the financial system will be smaller in the future. Don't be so sure.

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George Feiger

Dr George Feiger is President and CEO of of Contango Capital Advisors, based in Berkeley, California. He brings to the firm a diverse background in the banking, financial services and wealth-management industries. He is also Executive Vice President of the firm's parent company, Zions Bancorporation listed on Nasdaq and based in Salt Lake City, Utah. Prior to Contango, Dr Feiger served in a number of senior positions in the financial services sector. He was a Senior Advisor to the Monitor Group, Global Head of Onshore Private Banking for UBS, Global Head of Investment Banking at SBC Warburg and was a Senior Partner at McKinsey & Co during his time in Europe. He led the merger integration of the corporate finance businesses of Swiss Bank Corp and SG Warburg, and oversaw the consolidation of SBC Warburg's sales and trading businesses. He was also a partner at Capco, a financial services consulting firm. He holds a PhD in Economics from Harvard University and was an Associate Professor of Finance at Stanford University's Graduate School of Business. He has served as a director on several corporate boards and is a frequent writer and speaker on a wide range of financial topics.


We are grateful to:

. Rudi Bogni, Chairman, Medinvest, and Director, Old Mutual, from Basel, Switzerland, for, "Non-Stop Central Banks' Intervention;"
. Dr Ravi Batra, Professor of Economics, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas, USA, for, "Towards a Global Economic Crisis?;"
. Aurora Carlson, Founder, Open One Center, based on the West Coast, Sweden, for "The Coming Storm of Change;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Large Quake hits Quants as Computer-Driven Quantitative Hedge Funds Short-Circuit;"

. Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, USA for "Prolonged Credit Market Correction Ahead;"
. Prof Dr Norbert Walter, Chief Economist, Deutsche Bank Group, based in Frankfurt, Germany, for "Economic Consequences of The Sub-Prime Crisis;"
. Anthony Whitehouse based in Coppet and Geneva, Switzerland, for "Regulators, Hedge Fund Lending and Cross-Selling;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Perfect Storm: Credit Freeze and Distress Selling by Hedge Funds;"
. Dr George Feiger, based in Berkeley, California, USA, for "Two Faces of the Same Coin;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, for "Contagion and Systemic Risk? ECB Injects Record Euro 95bn post Major Disturbance;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, for "Flight to Quality as Markets finally Appreciate Risk;"
. Robert McNally, Chairman, London Chamber of Commerce Property and Construction Group, for "Erosion of Commercial Real Estate as a Solid Asset Class;"
. Alexander Hoare, CEO, C Hoare and Co, Private Bankers, based in the City of London, for "Destructive Creativity, Leverage and The Derivatives Market;" and
. Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, for "The Fear of Central Bankers -- Flight from Illiquidity, Derivatives and Heightened Risk of Contagion;"

in response to, "Are the Currency Markets Warning that there is Trouble Ahead? The Precipitous Decline of the US Dollar and its Impact on the World."

We look forward to your further thoughts, observations and views. Thank you.

Best wishes

For and on behalf of DK Matai, Chairman, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA)

ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001 to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers; as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.

The views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. Please do not forward or use the material circulated without permission and full attribution.

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