Addressing New Technologies' Black Swans and C-PET
London, UK - 26 July 2007, 12:40 GMT
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not
necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts
collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]
We are grateful to:
. Prof Prabhu Guptara, based in Wolfsberg, Switzerland, for "ATCA's
role in addressing New Technologies' Black Swans and C-PET;"
. Prof Nigel M de S Cameron, based in Chicago, Illinois, and Washington, DC,
for "The Center for Policy on Emerging Technologies
. John Petersen, based in Washington, DC, and Arlington, Virginia, for "Solar
Storms, Climate, Consciousness and Transition;"
. The Lord Howell of Guildford, based at The Palace of Westminster, London,
for "Out of the Energy Labyrinth;"
. John Elkington based in London, UK, from Sao Paulo, Brazil, for "Diamonds,
Clubs, Spades and Hearts;"
. Dr Thierry Malleret based in Geneva, Switzerland, for "The
Lesson of Humility in dealing with Black Swans;"
. Andrew Leung based in London, UK, and frequent visitor to China, for "The
China Black Swans;" and
. Prof Jean-Pierre Lehmann based in Ouchy and IMD Lausanne, Switzerland, for
"Integrating The Black Swan in Corporate Global
in response to the ATCA presentation, "Low Probability
High Impact and Black Swan Events -- Considerations for Future Scenarios --
The Opportunity and Risk of Asymmetric Globalisation."
Professor Prabhu Guptara is Executive Director, Organisational Development,
at the Switzerland based Wolfsberg -- The platform for Business and Executive
Development, a subsidiary of UBS, one of the largest banks in the world --
where he organises and chairs the famed Wolfsberg Think Tanks and the Distinguished
Speaker series of events. Prof Guptara has professional experience with a
range of organisations around the world, including Barclays Bank, BP, Deutsche
Bank, Kraft Jacob Suchard, Nokia, the Singapore Institute of Management and
Groupe Bull. A jury member of numerous literary competitions in Britain and
the Commonwealth, he has been a guest contributor to all the principal newspapers,
radio and TV channels in the UK, as well as media in other parts of the world.
Professor Guptara supervises PhD work at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland
and is Visiting Professor at various other international universities and
business schools. He is a Freeman of the City of London and of the Worshipful
Company of Information Technologists; and Fellow of the Institute of Directors.
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: ATCA's role in addressing New Technologies' Black Swans and C-PET
I am interested to see the ATCA submission from Prof Cameron in regard to
addressing New Technologies' potential Black Swans via C-PET. There is certainly
a need for a non-partisan think tank focusing on helping humanity to ensure
that "the blessings of emerging technologies are applied to the human
good, (that) its banes are mitigated, and (that) we gain the wisdom we need
to distinguish the two".
Prof Cameron seems to me to have already achieved a huge amount in bringing
together an enormously distinguished group of experts "from the left
as well as the right of the political spectrum, from various sides of the
debates on the political, social and ethical challenges posed by new technologies,
and from both sides of the Atlantic."
May I suggest that ATCA could be of crucial assistance to the C-PET project,
by introducing relevant experts from *other* parts of the globe. This would
then help to provide a genuinely global perspective. For a start, I would
suggest that ATCA's distinguished members could help identify at least one
relevant expert each from Japan, Korea, China, South-East Asia, India, Israel
and South Africa. As far as I am aware, these are the areas where significant
research is underway in the named new technologies of "bio, info,
nano, robo and AI." In all probability, in naming these countries
and geographical areas, I am indicating the limits of my knowledge of these
fields! Naturally, there could be other countries/areas which should be included.
I do realise that creating this global panel of experts is only a first step
and that the fundamental need is for some minimum seed-finance so that such
a think tank can begin to function. Perhaps ATCA distinguished members can
also help with this, by putting on not only our individual thinking hats,
but also our corporate thinking hats.
I should think it would be to the advantage of each of these industries for
there to be common "rules of the game" around the world? Without
a global market, many of the latest products of these emerging new technologies'
industries will have reduced or no profitability - as we have seen with the
GMO debate (or should I say "debacle"?)
With best wishes
We look forward to your further thoughts, observations and views. Thank
For and on behalf of DK Matai, Chairman, Asymmetric Threats Contingency
ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency
Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001
to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic
dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global
economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses
asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate
chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics
and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies
-- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource
shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as
well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is
by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from
over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen
and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at
Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers;
as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.
The views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily
representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. Please
do not forward or use the material circulated without permission
and full attribution.
Intelligence Unit | mi2g | tel +44 (0) 20 7712 1782 fax +44
(0) 20 7712 1501 | internet www.mi2g.net
mi2g: Winner of the Queen's Award for Enterprise in the category