Asymmetric Risk -- Insurance Lessons for Sub-Prime
Contagion
London, UK - 24 August 2007, 08:36 GMT
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors
are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral.
ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]
We are grateful to:
* The ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), based in Canary Wharf, London,
UK, for "Asymmetric Knowledge Risk -- Insurance Lessons for Sub-Prime
Contagion;"
* Anthony Whitehouse based in Coppet and Geneva, Switzerland, for "High
Credit Ratings and Breakdown of Trust;" and
* John Pickering, Vice-Chairman, Labour Finance and Industry Group, based
in London and Tunbridge Wells, UK, for "Role of Auditors;"
in response to the ATCA QUERY: Role of Credit Rating Agencies.
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: Asymmetric Knowledge Risk -- Insurance Lessons for Sub-Prime Contagion
In the present global subprime credit crisis, we have entered an era in financial
markets when knowledge -- trustworthy information -- becomes much more valuable
than money or prevailing monetary conditions. Consider two interrelated questions:
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Membership]
Best wishes
ATCA Research & Analysis Wing
____________________________________________________________________________
Anthony Whitehouse, based in Switzerland, has substantial experience in trust
creation and administration and the management of offshore structures, especially
as they relate to the administration of intellectual property. In addition,
he has expertise in the business management of high net worth individuals
in the entertainment sector. He has recently given up business to enter into
the public ministry of his Church. Anthony entered the trust business as a
senior manager with the Lausanne-based branch of a Bahamas Trust company in
1978 before leaving to join a major international bank in 1988 as manager
of Fiduciary Services Operations in Geneva. Together with Richard Bittiner
he set up Bittiner Whitehouse, an accounting and trust administration practice,
in 1992. Bittiner Whitehouse was acquired by the Maitland Group in 2003. Anthony
qualified as a Chartered Accountant in England in 1968. He obtained his MBA
from IMD in 1973 and was one of the founding members of STEP in the French-speaking
area of Switzerland. He speaks English and French. He writes:
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: High Credit Ratings and Breakdown of Trust
Whether we can rely on rating agencies is symptomatic of a deeper issue of
what levels of trust are available in all walks of life. With regard to the
issue of whether we can trust rating agencies I must recount a short anecdote.
A professor from my own business school, in a conference I attended, advised
that one of the issues in the Enron case, which assisted those of its officers
engaged in fraud was that one rating agency gave triple AAA ratings to some
of its off balance sheet vehicles helping them finance some of the scams they
thought up. And the reason? 25 vehicles at USD 25,000 a pop involves a great
deal of income for a rating agency. And there were that number of vehicles
involved.
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[ATCA Membership]
Sincerely
Anthony Whitehouse
____________________________________________________________________________
John Pickering is the Vice-Chairman of the Labour Finance and Industry Group
(LFIG) as well as being an industrialist. LFIG is a UK Labour loyal think
tank that draws on the experience of senior managers, providing a practical
filter for legislation. He is a graduate of Cambridge University in physics
and engineering, Cranfield Business School as well a being a Fellow of the
Institution of Electrical Engineers. He has gained worldwide experience in
general management in the power field and spent a number of years managing
power construction projects in Nigeria, Sudan and Iran financed by the World
Bank. Since then he has been in telecommunications joining BT plc at privatisation
to become their first head of commercial management. In more recent times
he has been a director investor in a number of global enterprises. He writes:
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: Role of Auditors
I would like to suggest we also raise the question of the role of auditors
at Banks, in particular, in relation to recent financial indiscipline. Auditors
have a duty to highlight to company directors any weaknesses in management
control systems.
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[ATCA Membership]
Yours sincerely
John Pickering
[ENDS]
We are grateful to:
* The ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), based in Canary Wharf, London,
UK, for "Asymmetric Knowledge Risk and Market Deadlock;"
* Anthony Whitehouse based in Coppet and Geneva, Switzerland, for "High
Credit Ratings and Breakdown of Trust;"
* John Pickering, Vice-Chairman, Labour Finance and Industry Group, based
in London and Tunbridge Wells, UK, for "Role of Auditors;"
* The ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), based in Canary Wharf, London,
UK, for "ATCA QUERY: Role of Credit Rating
Agencies;"
. Peter Tasker, Founding Partner, Arcus Investment, based in Tokyo, Japan,
for "Resilience of Corporate Profits &
Sub-Prime Fiasco -- Global View from Japan;"
. Daniel Morler, Head of Middle East, LGT Private Bank, based in Vaduz,
Liechtenstein, for "Human Factor, Information
Lag, Geo-Politics and Central Banks;"
. Justin Urquhart Stewart, Director, Seven Investment Management, London,
UK, for "Pride Before the Fall -- Those Who Don't Know that they
Don't Know;"
. Martin Wolf, Associate Editor & Chief Economics Commentator, Financial
Times, London, UK, for "To Cut or Not to
Cut: Federal Reserve must Prolong the Party;"
. The Hon Al McDonald, Chairman and CEO, Avenir Group, from Michigan, USA,
for "Balancing The Role of Management in Extreme
Financial Turbulence."
. The ATCA Editorial Team based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Subprime
Crisis Spreads Across Regions and Financial Sectors;"
* Hervé de Carmoy, European Vice-Chairman, Trilateral Commission,
based in Paris, France, for "Role of Large
Financial Institutions in Fuelling Crisis;"
* Dr Jim Walker, Chief Economist, CLSA, based in Hong Kong for "China
Chaos and Subprime Butterfly;"
. Ashutosh Sheshabalaya, CEO, India-Advisory, based in Brussels, EU, and
Bassilly, Belgium, for "India turns History
Upside Down;"
. John Elkington, Chief Entrepreneur, SustainAbility, based in London, UK,
and returning from India, for "Mother Convulsion
- India's Third Liberation;"
. Stephen Lendman, based in Chicago, Illinois, USA, for "Slow
Motion Train Wreck" via Ashok Khosla, Chairman, Development
Alternatives, New Delhi, India;
. The ATCA Editorial Team based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Market
Convulsions;"
. Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, USA
for "Federal Reserve's Changed Focus;"
. Bill Emmott, Director, UK-Japan 21st Century Group, based in London and
Somerset, UK, for "Japan's Strong Yen;"
* Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, USA
for "The Asymmetric Loss of Trust and Chain
Reaction;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Public
Inquisition of Credit Rating Agencies may Accelerate Downturn;"
. Dr George Feiger, President and CEO, Contango Capital Advisors, based
in Berkeley, California, USA, for "Watch
out for Dramatic Winners;"
* The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Systemic
Risk & Sectoral Meltdown: Heightened Correlation and Deleveraging;"
. Rudi Bogni, Chairman, Medinvest, and Director, Old Mutual, from Basel,
Switzerland, for, "Non-Stop Central Banks'
Intervention;"
. Dr Ravi Batra, Professor of Economics, Southern Methodist University,
Dallas, Texas, USA, for, "Towards a Global
Economic Crisis?;"
. Aurora Carlson, Founder, Open One Center, based on the West Coast, Sweden,
for "The Coming Storm of Change;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Large
Quake hits Quants as Computer-Driven Quantitative Hedge Funds Short-Circuit;"
* Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, USA
for "Prolonged Credit Market Correction Ahead;"
. Prof Dr Norbert Walter, Chief Economist, Deutsche Bank Group, based in
Frankfurt, Germany, for "Economic Consequences
of The Sub-Prime Crisis;"
. Anthony Whitehouse based in Coppet and Geneva, Switzerland, for "Regulators,
Hedge Fund Lending and Cross-Selling;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, UK, for "Perfect
Storm: Credit Freeze and Distress Selling by Hedge Funds;"
. Dr George Feiger, based in Berkeley, California, USA, for "Two
Faces of the Same Coin;"
* The ATCA Editorial Team, based in Canary Wharf, London, for "Contagion
and Systemic Risk? ECB Injects Record Euro 95bn post Major Disturbance;"
. The ATCA Editorial Team, for "Flight to Quality
as Markets finally Appreciate Risk;"
. Robert McNally, Chairman, London Chamber of Commerce Property and Construction
Group, for "Erosion of Commercial Real Estate
as a Solid Asset Class;"
. Alexander Hoare, CEO, C Hoare and Co, Private Bankers, based in the City
of London, for "Destructive
Creativity, Leverage and The Derivatives Market;" and
. Dr Harald Malmgren, CEO, Malmgren Global, based in Washington, DC, for
"The Fear of Central Bankers -- Flight from
Illiquidity, Derivatives and Heightened Risk of Contagion;"
in response to, "Are the Currency Markets Warning
that there is Trouble Ahead? The Precipitous Decline of the US Dollar and
its Impact on the World."
* Denotes ATCA QUERY: Role of Credit Rating Agencies
We look forward to your further thoughts, observations and views. Thank
you.
Best wishes
For and on behalf of DK Matai, Chairman, Asymmetric Threats Contingency
Alliance (ATCA)
ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency
Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001
to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic
dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global
economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses
asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate
chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics
and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies
-- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource
shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as
well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is
by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from
over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen
and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at
Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers;
as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.
The views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily
representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. Please
do not forward or use the material circulated without permission
and full attribution.
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